NHK WORLD-JAPAN NEWS-Japan election: Ruling coalition may barely reach majority
日本選挙：与党連合がかろうじて過半数に達する可能性
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L-xEOPUm4M
Our forecasts show that it’s not clear whether the ruling coalition can secure a majority. We can also project the liberal Democratic party will not reach a majority on its own. The last time the LDP lost a majority was in 2009. Meanwhile their largest opponent the Constitutional Democratic party of Japan is certain to make significant gains. Here’s where the ruling Coalition stands NNK’s exit polls and analysis suggests the LDP and its Coalition partner Komeito will likely walk away with anywhere between 174 to 254 seats.
Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru previously said if the ruling coalition can secure a majority. He’d consider it a victory, but it’s unclear if they will reach that threshold of 233 seats. Once again our exit polls and analysis suggest the LDP and Komeito will end the night with a combined total of 174 to 254 seats. In our exit polls and analysis suggest the LDP alone will secure 153 to 219 seats. Again N’HKs decision desk projects the party will not reach a majority on its own. The LDP did not endorse some candidates in light of a fundraising Scandal. Those candidates have run as Independence. The party may reinstate those who secure a seat. As for the opposition the Constitutional Democratic party is expected to walk away with 128 to 191 seats. That’s significantly more than its pre-election total of 98.
forecasts ˈfɔrˌkæsts 予測
ruling coalition ˈruːlɪŋ koʊəˈlɪʃən 与党連立
secure sɪˈkjʊr 確保する
majority məˈʤɔrɪti 過半数
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) ˈlɪbərəl dɪˈmɑkrətɪk ˈpɑrti 自由民主党
on its own ɑn ɪts oʊn 単独で
opponent əˈpoʊnənt 対抗相手
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan ˌkɑnstɪˈtuʃənl dɪˈmɑkrətɪk ˈpɑrti 立憲民主党
significant gains sɪgˈnɪfɪkənt geɪnz 大幅な獲得
exit polls ˈɛksɪt poʊlz 出口調査
analysis əˈnælɪsɪs 分析
Coalition partner koʊəˈlɪʃən ˈpɑrtnər 連立パートナー
walk away with wɔk əˈweɪ wɪð ～を手にする
threshold ˈθrɛʃˌhoʊld 基準、入口
combined total kəmˈbaɪnd ˈtoʊtəl 合計
decision desk dɪˈsɪʒən dɛsk 決定デスク
fundraising scandal ˈfʌndˌreɪzɪŋ ˈskændəl 資金集めのスキャンダル
Independence ˌɪndɪˈpɛndəns 無所属
reinstate ˌriːɪnˈsteɪt 復帰させる
pre-election total pri-ɪˈlɛkʃən ˈtoʊtəl 選挙前の総数
我々の予測によると、与党連立が過半数を確保できるかどうかは不透明です。また、自由民主党（LDP）は単独で過半数に達しないと予測されています。LDPが最後に過半数を失ったのは2009年のことです。その一方で、最大の対抗勢力である立憲民主党は大幅な議席増を見込んでいます。NNKの出口調査と分析によると、自民党と連立パートナーである公明党は174から254議席を獲得する見込みです。
石破茂首相は以前、与党連立が過半数を確保できれば勝利と考えると述べていましたが、233議席という基準に達するかは不透明です。
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